Scouting The Sally Holiday Chat
 
8:24
Mike Newman: 
Good evening everybody!   I wanted to get rolling a little early and get some questions in the queue.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:24 Mike Newman
8:30
[Comment From Anthony De RosaAnthony De Rosa: ] 
Hey Mike, this is Anthony from HotFootBlog.com. Great job setting this up. How bad is the shape of the Mets minors and what do you think they could do to improve them?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:30 Anthony De Rosa
8:32
Mike Newman: 
To improve the system, you would of course like to see them go over slot on a few more draft picks and invest more heavily in international prospects.   The system lacks real impact talent, but this is the deepest minor league crop the Mets have had at any one time in as many years as I can remember.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:32 Mike Newman
8:32
[Comment From HopjakeHopjake: ] 
Thoughts on Abe Almonte of the Yanks
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:32 Hopjake
8:34
Mike Newman: 
I saw Almonte in both 2008 and 2009 and he looked like the same player.   The ball comes off of his bat well, but he has trouble squaring up.   If you follow football, he is the spitting image of Thurman Thomas, the former Buffalo Bill.   I have a tough time believing he's as young as he is listed.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:34 Mike Newman
8:34
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 
With Vizcaino in the fold to pitch in Rome, do you think Teheran and Vizcaino will be 1-2 in that staff??
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:34 Mike
8:36
Mike Newman: 
Tough question.   I can see Rome splitting the two with a Brett DeVall (former supp. 1st rd.).   He's a command/control lefty.   Both Teheran and Vizcaino seem to have similar repertoires.   Breaking them up might be smart.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:36 Mike Newman
8:36
[Comment From Jonathan EvansJonathan Evans: ] 
Who will be the best players playing in WV this year ,, im a braves fan but I live close and watch alot of Power games.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:36 Jonathan Evans
8:37
Mike Newman: 
The Pirates have been treating WV to some good baseball as they have gone over slot on a number of guys.   2010 will be no different as Colton Cain and Von Rosenberg should be there.   As for bats, they went VERY heavy on pitching in the 2009 draft so it could be a bit thin.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:37 Mike Newman
8:37
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 
What's your projection for Jesus Montero's power, i've heard from BP that he could be a 30-40 HR guy??
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:37 Mike
8:39
Mike Newman: 
I agree with KG about his being a future batting champion.   When I saw him at the tail end of 2008, he wasn't creating the kind of back spin to predict huge power numbers.   In video I've seen recently, he has made some adjustments which should help.   He really has true superstar potential.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:39 Mike Newman
8:39
[Comment From Steve@MLBFPSteve@MLBFP: ] 
Mike, give me your thoughts on the prospects the Braves got back for Vazquez.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:39 Steve@MLBFP
8:42
Mike Newman: 
Arodys Vizcaino was the highest ceiling pitching prospect in the Yankees system.   I look forward to seeing him with Rome in 2010.   Dunn has a very strong minor league track record and should log a considerable number of innings in the Braves pen in 2010.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:42 Mike Newman
8:42
[Comment From CBWCBW: ] 
Favorite player and pitcher to watch? and why?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:42 CBW
8:43
Mike Newman: 
This answer may be way too random for some, but my favorite outing of the 2009 season was Matthew Way (Phillies) vs. the Sand Gnats.   He was MASTERFUL with an 83-86 MPH fastball and a couple of breaking pitches.   As for hitters, Mike Stanton (Marlins) made my jaw drop due to his natural power.   PHENOMENAL!!!
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:43 Mike Newman
8:44
[Comment From PhilPhil: ] 
Can you give me a comp on Manny Banuelos? Maybe a prospect a few years older that you saw in person?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:44 Phil
8:47
Mike Newman: 
Banuelos is a VERY unique prospect at this point in time.   He had the most polish by a significant margin of any left-hander I have seen in the Sally and he's just a pup.   I mentioned DeVall earlier and he's actually a good player to comp.   DeVall was a former supp. 1st rounder and million dollar bonus baby and Banuelos was better by a VERY wide margin.   The Yankees made a heck of a find.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:47 Mike Newman
8:48
[Comment From SarahSarah: ] 
The Astros--are they going to get better soon? I'm kind of tired of them signing old guys instead of bring up any new talent.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:48 Sarah
8:49
Mike Newman: 
Unfortunately, it's probably going to be a rough road for the Astros.   Castro doesn't seem like an impact player and I was a little down on Ross Seaton after watching him pitch.   Adam Foster over at Project Prospect also suggested his readers temper their enthusiasm on Jordan Lyles as well.   At the big league level, the Astros don't have many trade chips.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:49 Mike Newman
8:50
[Comment From Jeff BuchananJeff Buchanan: ] 
You've mentioned in the past that you like Josh Phegley's power. What do you think of the rest of Phegley's game (particularly his defense) and do you think he could be a fast riser in '10?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:50 Jeff Buchanan
8:50
Mike Newman: 
His BABIP was INSANELY low depressing his value.   I liked his oppo field power.   He's a little stiff behind the plate, but had a surprisingly strong arm and handled the staff well.   People are definitely sleeping on him.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:50 Mike Newman
8:51
[Comment From MetroMetro: ] 
How hard does Manuel Banuelos throw? Who has more upside he or Vizcaino?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:51 Metro
8:52
Mike Newman: 
When I saw Banuelos, he was between 87-91 MPH.   KG today wrote a scout he spoke to saw him twice in the same week and he was 87-90 during one start and 90+ during the 2nd.   He should become more consistent as he matures.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:52 Mike Newman
8:52
[Comment From LoveOfTheGameLoveOfTheGame: ] 
It's well known that I ride Toby Hyde with his assessments. Recently he decided to select Familia over Kyle Allen based on a few ticks of a FB. What's your take? I mean I look at his list on his page and I want to laugh at last year's rankings. What's your thoughts on his comment?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:52 LoveOfTheGame
8:54
Mike Newman: 
I like Toby Hyde and consider him a blogging buddy.   However, with an average SP equaling a B-level closer in WAR, I am more likely to lean towards a pitcher with a more complete arsenal who truly projects to remain a starter.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:54 Mike Newman
8:54
[Comment From MetroMetro: ] 
We know Jordany Valdespin has had some off the field issues, do you think he is a real talent or just a "lucky" year?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:54 Metro
8:54
Mike Newman: 
Most of his success came during a single hot streak.   he's VERY rough around the edges for a prospect his age.  
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:54 Mike Newman
8:55
[Comment From B3B3: ] 
I'm a Pittsburgh guy and wanted to know if you thought Rudy Owens was legit? Can he have success at higher levels?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:55 B3
8:56
Mike Newman: 
command/control lefties are the hardest types to gauge in the Sally.   They normally post insane numbers against younger prospects just learning to hit with wood.   I would say temper your enthusiasm.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:56 Mike Newman
8:56
[Comment From HopjakeHopjake: ] 
Do you follow all the minors or just the sally that you see the most often?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:56 Hopjake
8:57
Mike Newman: 
I follow all of the minors and would like to expand my coverage in the future.   If I ever have a budget, I'll hit the road.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:57 Mike Newman
8:58
[Comment From LoveOfTheGameLoveOfTheGame: ] 
Baseball Prospectus recently included Melky Mesa in their top 15 or so guys. Why does this guy get so much love? Scout.com lists in at #40+ in their rankings. Why such a difference?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:58 LoveOfTheGame
8:59
Mike Newman: 
I saw him twice and he was the best player on the field the first time I saw him and maybe the worst the second time.   He makes a GREAT first impression, but the holes start to become apparent after a handful of at bats.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:59 Mike Newman
8:59
[Comment From HopjakeHopjake: ] 
Thoughts on Jose Pirela of the Yanks?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 8:59 Hopjake
9:00
Mike Newman: 
I actually like Pirela more than most.   Above average agility, line drive swing, quick hands.   Not much speed or power probably limits him to a utility role.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:00 Mike Newman
9:00
[Comment From HopjakeHopjake: ] 
When did you start covering the Sally league?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:00 Hopjake
9:02
Mike Newman: 
My first blog was baseballhandyman.com and found I wanted to spend more time reporting on players I see live.   I moved to Savannah in 2006 and began going to games.   However, i didn't start S.T.S. until early in the 2009 season.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:02 Mike Newman
9:02
[Comment From Steve@MLBFPSteve@MLBFP: ] 
Is Anthony Gose a "tools guy" or a baseball player?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:02 Steve@MLBFP
9:03
Mike Newman: 
70/30 tools, but he has a clue.   That's more than I can say for a lot of guys at this level.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:03 Mike Newman
9:03
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 
Any chance this Vazquez trade becomes another A.J Przynski for Nathan, Bonser, and Liriano deal. Ie. Dunn become another Nathan, Melky is an average centerfielder, and Vizcaino becomes a Liriano with clean mechanics.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:03 Mike
9:06
Mike Newman: 
I think Melky can improve some, Vizcaino is still a wild card until he shows something in full season baseball, and Dunn seems to have been coveted by a few teams.   The biggest thing I learned this season was to really shy away from huge projections for short season guys.   Take a look at what happened to Marte/Flores.....
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:06 Mike Newman
9:06
[Comment From HopjakeHopjake: ] 
What minor league sites do you visit?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:06 Hopjake
9:07
Mike Newman: 
I have posted a few things on Project Prospect.   I never miss a Fangraphs article and really respect the work Goldstein does over at BP.   I was a huge fan of SaberScouting and now read Frankie Piliere over at AOL Fanhouse.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:07 Mike Newman
9:08
[Comment From Cooler_GuyCooler_Guy: ] 
I like where the mets are headed, but they have a couple more drafts to make up for all the Relievers they took in the 1st round there.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:08 Cooler_Guy
9:08
Mike Newman: 
AMEN!   I was a huge critic of those picks during my time blogging for Metsgeek.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:08 Mike Newman
9:08
[Comment From DanDan: ] 
Robert Carson..... underrated by "experts" or only a fringe prospect and why?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:08 Dan
9:10
Mike Newman: 
Carson is still raw, but he's a big kid who can get it up to 94 MPH from the left side.   I have heard he has some make up issues and needs to improve his work ethic.   The poor peripherals come from the lack of a swing-and-miss pitch.   The slider has some potential, but isn't there yet.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:10 Mike Newman
9:10
[Comment From PhilPhil: ] 
Did you see RObbie Grossman this year? What did you think of him?
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:10 Phil
9:11
Mike Newman: 
I didn't see Grossman this season, but the strikeout totals are terrifying.   From people I've spoken to, he has a long swing and really needs to revamp.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:11 Mike Newman
9:11
[Comment From MikeMike: ] 
As in true superstar potential in Montero, are we going to see another Manny Ramirez or Miguel Cabrera type hitter with him.
Tuesday December 22, 2009 9:11 Mike
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