Super Tuesday II(03/04/2008) 
5:52
AP: Test
Tuesday March 4, 2008 5:52 
5:54
AP: Updates on the way, as circumstances warrant...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 5:54 
6:03
AP: Exit polls are coming in from Fox.  64/35 Hillary among Hispanics in Texas, but younger Hispanics break for Obama.  Sweet: Late-deciders break 66/34 for Hillary.  And women break 54/46.  A good night shaping up for our gal...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:03 
6:05
AP: More.  Ohio union households break 56/43 for Hillary.  No surprise.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:05 
6:05
AP: Good lord.  Geraghty has one set of exit polls showing Obama by two -- in Ohio?!?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:05 
6:08
AP: Maverick smells a clinch.  "1191" banners are being hung at campaign HQ.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:08 
6:10
AP: Ominous news for Hillary.  Fully half of her own supporters think superdelegates should follow the results of the primaries and caucuses.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:10 
6:11
AP: Reader "MirCat" e-mails to say that a report on local news in Cincinnati claims Republicans are crossing over en masse to vote in the Democratic primary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:11 
6:14
Ed: OK, I'm on now, and thanks to Allahpundit and all of the great Hot Air audience ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:14 
6:14
AP: Fox is doing the GOP exit polls now.  71% of Ohioans and 75% of Texans say they're satisfied with McCain as the nominee.  But 42% of Ohioans and 44% of Texans say he isn't conservative enough.  Tough news for Huck: Texas evangelicals split almost evenly, 45/44 for Huck.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:14 
6:16
Ed: I'm betting that early Ohio exit poll that shows Obama up two will not hold up.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:16 
6:16
AP: Fingers crossed...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:16 
6:18
Ed: Sultry Beauty asks whether we're cheering for Hillary tonight ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:18 
6:18
AP: More good news for Hillary via Noam Askew: The highest turnout in Ohio is among white women.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:18 
6:19
Ed: AP, if that's true, she'll do all right in Ohio.  I'm not cheering Hillary as much as I am cheering a long Democratic primary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:19 
6:20
AP: Another (anecdotal) report of massive GOP crossover in Ohio -- and they seem to be breaking for Hillary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:20 
6:26
AP: For what it's worth, "change" beats "experience" tonight in Texas and Ohio -- but by smaller margins than it has in previous primaries.  Evidence of Hillary's "3 a.m." ad working?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:26 
6:27
[Comment From SlublogSlublog: ] 
Potential bad news for Hillary? http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Vote2008/story?id=4386210&page=1
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:27 Slublog
6:29
AP: Dave in Texas says he crossed over and voted for Hillary too.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:29 
6:31
Ed: I suspect that a lot of people will take Rush's advice.  However, I'm not so sure that's such a great idea.  Shouldn't we want the Clintons out of politics?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:31 
6:32
Ed: Blacklake writes about the heartache of getting the Democrat label in the comments ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:32 
6:35
Ed: We're about 25 minutes away from the poll closing in Vermont.  Who wins there and why?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:35 
6:35
Who wins Vermont?
Barack Obama
 ( 79% )
Hillary Clinton
 ( 21% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:35 
6:36
Ed: This widget allows us to conduct polls.  Jump in - we'll keep them up until the next poll closing time (Ohio, 7:30 pm ET)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:36 
6:37
AP: Obama whines to the media: “I’m a little surprised that all the complaining about the refs has actually worked as well as it has for them. I didn’t expect you guys would bite on that.”
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:37 
6:38
Ed: AP, he's whining to the media about Hillary's complaining to the media that the media hasn't been tough enough on Obama??  Wow, my head is spinning...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:38 
6:43
AP: Yep. Working the refs.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:43 
6:45
Ed: FYI, I'll have a couple of media appearances tonight.  At 9:05, I'll be on CHQR's The World Tonight, and at 9:40 I'll be on the Jack Riccardi show on KTSA in San Antonio. (both times CT)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:45 
6:47
Ed: Bacadog wonders how well Mike Huckabee will do.  If there are enough Republican crossovers in Texas, could Huckabee stage a surprise there?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:47 
6:47
Ed: Naaaaaah.  But it's fun to think about it.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:47 
6:48
AP: Hard to believe he can win in Texas when evangelicals split evenly.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:48 
6:48
AP: Incidentally, Drudge is reporting that Obama's won Vermont.  So those of you who picked Hillary in our poll chose ... poorly.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:48 
6:49
Ed: They chose the gaudy, glittery chalice rather than the Messiah-like one?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:49 
6:50
AP: They did.  The Messiah's is the chalice of a carpenter.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:50 
6:53
Ed: Did you see the pictures at the CNN election coverage site?  Hillary and Huckabee are happy, Obama's serious -- and McCain looks like he got goosed.  Nice....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:53 
6:54
AP: Settle in, kids.  Exit polls indicate Texas, Ohio, and Rhode Island are all too close to call.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:54 
6:56
Ed: CNN says that NAFTA bashing may not work in Texas.  Exit polls show only 58% of Democratic voters there think it resulted in a net loss of jobs, as opposed to 81% in Ohio.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:56 
6:57
AP: More rumblings from Team Huck about a possible dropout coming.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:57 
6:58
Ed: What?? Huck's leaving?  To quote John Edwards, "Whah?  Whaaaah?"
Tuesday March 4, 2008 6:58 
7:00

Ed: Fox projects Obama the winner in Vermont.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:00 
7:00
AP: NBC projects Obama and McCain the winners in Vermont too.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:00 
7:01
Will John McCain win enough delegates to clinch?
Yes
 ( 81% )
No
 ( 11% )
Not Sure
 ( 8% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:01 
7:01
Ed: New poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:01 
7:03
AP: Everyone okay with this liveblog format, btw?  I think it's kind of spiffy.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:03 
7:03
AP: Sweet -- late-deciders break 55/45 for Hillary in Ohio per Fox News.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:03 
7:03
Ed: I love it, and I'm getting e-mails saying the same thing.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:03 
7:04
Ed: I'm watching CNN and Lou Dobbs, so y'all don't have to ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:04 
7:04
AP: Huck crushes McCain, 56/32, among Texans re: "values."
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:04 
7:08
Ed: It's like watching Dan Dierdorf analyzing synchronized swimming at CNN.   Jeff Toobin reminds us that it's all about the voters today, and Lou Dobbs says there'll be no spin.  HA!  BWA-HAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:08 
7:09

Ed: Obama won both men and women by double digits in Vermont.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:09 
7:11
Ed: Ohio is a "must win for Hillary" - Wolf Blitzer
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:11 
7:13
Ed: I don't know whether Michelle will join us, Vanceone -- but she's certainly invited!!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:13 
7:14
Ed: Wayward, that might be the Shuster effect....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:14 
7:15
Ed: Looks like we've overwhelmingly agreed that McCain will clinch tonight.  I'm going to post another poll ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:15 
7:16
Who wins Ohio?
Barack Obama
 ( 21% )
Hillary Clinton
 ( 79% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:16 
7:16
Ed: New poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:16 
7:19
Ed: CNN reports that the Ohio polls will remain open until 9 pm ET because of bad weather in Sandusky and Cleveland.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:19 
7:19
AP: Molly Henneberg on Fox notes that Huck needs only 24 more delegates to pass Romney.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:19 
7:20
AP: He'll be in Little Rock tomorrow to "plan" the way forward, which suggests a dropout.  As noted previously today, the senate deadline is March 10.  Why on earth doesn't he get in?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:20 
7:22
Ed: AP, I think he might.  If he's heading back now, it may be for that specific purpose.  He won't be McCain's VP pick, he has to know that.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:22 
7:22
AP: How lame has the media's coverage of Obama been?  This lame.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:22 
7:23

Ed: Lorne Michaels, news god.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:23 
7:26
Ed: Carl Bernstein: Hillary ran a "really negative, nasty campaign" this week.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:26 
7:26
AP: Brit Hume just hinted that they might call the race in Ohio in a few minutes.  A blowout for Hillary?  Stay tuned.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:26 
7:27
Ed: If they do, we have a story, AP -- since they're keeping the polls open in Ohio...  I think Hume missed that, and that's a significant slip...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:27 
7:28
Ed: I do love the fact that CNN has spent the last three minutes talking about Tony Rezko and the NAFTA dance.  Paul Begala: "I've run negative campaigns".  Yes, you have ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:28 
7:30
AP: Fox calls Ohio for McCain -- although Ed says the polls are still open.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:30 
7:30
ED: CNN projects Ohio for McCain, too.  Curious that they didn't wait.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:30 
7:30
AP: Too close to call on the Democratic side.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:30 
7:32
Ed: CNN's live from McCain headquarters, and it looks pretty lonely there.  Not much suspense, I guess!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:32 
7:33
AP: Hillary could conceivably win the popular vote in Ohio and still lose the delegate race.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:33 
7:34
Ed: Let's get Lawrence Tribe and Ted Olson to Ohio tout-suite.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:34 
7:34
AP: A friend at Fox News e-mails to say that they're doing all kinds of livestreams tonight from campaign HQs.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:34 
7:36
Ed: CNN exit poll in Ohio indicates a narrow win for Hillary ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:36 
7:36
Ed: Obama beats her by five among men but Hillary won among women by nine -- and women outvoted men 59%-41%.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:36 
7:37
Ed: ... so I'm going to extrapolate a five or six point win for Hillary in Ohio.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:37 
7:37
AP: Our pal KP is on the "Strategy Room" livestream
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:37 
7:39
AP: Here's the exit poll Ed refers to.  Yup, looks like a slight advantage for our gal.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:39 
7:40
Ed: Crossover vote in Ohio shows Obama winning Republicans by nine points.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:40 
7:40
Ed: Yeah, I should have provided the link -- sorry!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:40 
7:41
Ed: Canopfor, there will be no outright winner before the convention -- it's just not mathematically possible.  There will be no court challenge, though there may be a floor fight at the convention.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:41 
7:42
AP: Look at the C-in-C advantage for Hillary in that CNN exit polls.  57/40.  Wow.  "Daisy" scores.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:42 
7:43
Ed: Ideology -- Hillary won the moderates, while Obama won the liberals -- and the conservatives!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:43 
7:45
Ed: Candidate quality for experience -- Hillary won 94% of those votes.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:45 
7:46
AP: Yup -- the conservatives must be the "Obamacans." Not enough, apparently.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:46 
7:47
Ed: Hopichanginess went to Obama, 73-27.  Surprised he didn't get more of those voters.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:47 
7:49
Ed: BigOld Dog says that Obama went to court to keep the polls open in Ohio.  Interesting.  Did they worry about Cleveland not getting to the polls?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:49 
7:50
Ed: The Ron Paul 5% Revolution continues in Vermont ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:50 
7:51
Which network are you primarily watching?
CNN
 ( 7% )
Fox
 ( 54% )
MS-NBC
 ( 1% )
None
 ( 38% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:51 
7:52
Ed: Here's a new poll for you. This won't stay up long, as we'll want your prediction on Texas.  I'll re-run this poll later.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:52 
7:53

Ed: No one's watching Olbermann name Jonah Goldberg the Worst Person in the World for ten days in a row?

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:53 
7:55
Ed: Well, they're reporting numbers out of Ohio now ... curious.  Hillary up60-38, but with less than 1% of the precincts reporting.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:55 
7:56
AP: Geraghty wonders if tonight's results are proof of an Obama freefall, pointing specifically to the late deciders breaking so overwhelmingly for Hillary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:56 
7:57
Who wins Texas?
Hillary Clinton
 ( 65% )
Barack Obama
 ( 35% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:57 
7:57
AP: Bill Richardson pulls Hillary out from under the bus.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:57 
7:58
Ed: Is Richardson trying to work on the running mate slot with Hillary?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 7:58 
8:04
Ed: The Ron Paul 5% Revolution is also doing its usual thing in Ohio, too.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:04 
8:04
Test.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:04 
8:04
Ed: Is that test from ....?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:04 
8:04
Hey guys! It's Michelle popping in.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:04 
8:04

Ed: Yay!

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:04 
8:05
Just wanted to remind you re. Richardson...

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:05 
8:05
...in case you didn't know...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:05 
8:05
he WAS Energy Secretary, Governor of New Mexico...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:05 
8:06
etc. etc. etc.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:06 
8:06
Ed: And now he has a beard.  Very Gore-like.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:06 
8:07
Oh, and by the way, he was Energy Secretary, Gov. of New Mexico, and boy am I glad he disappeared from the debates before I destroyed my TV.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:07 
8:08
Ed: "Superdelegates are politicians.  They're not Kamikaze pilots."  The great commentary at CNN continues....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:08 
8:09
Fun fact: I was a resident of Lorain County, OH for nearly four years. That's where Oberlin College is.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:09 
8:10
Ed: Texas is already sending some numbers ... Obama up 58-41, with 65,000 votes counted -- probably early voters.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:10 
8:10
Ed: The Ron Paul 5% Revolution continues -- in Texas!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:10 
8:11
Ed: For Jefferton, I'm watching CNN, and AP's watching Fox.  Michelle, which network are you watching?  Are you on Olbermann watch?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:11 
8:12
I'm a masochist, yes. Watching MSNBC.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:12 
8:13
Michelle: It's Chris Matthews Watch. Ugh.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:13 
8:13
Michelle: Ew. Tim Russert just picked his nose.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:13 
8:13
Ed: Oh, man.  How did the boss wind up with the scut work? 
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:13 
8:14
Ed.  Ewwwwwwww.  He couldn't wait for the drive home?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:14 
8:14
Michelle: Marvin comments, "wow, Michelle is the only viewer of MSNBC!" Snort.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:14 
8:14
Ed: The only polls still open in Ohio are in Sandusky.  The rest of the state has closed.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:14 
8:15
Ed: Texas numbers continue to come in; Obama up 60-40 with 250,000 votes counted, but that 's a drop in the bucket, apparently.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:15 
8:16
Ed: Michelle, has Olbermann named you WPITW tonight yet?  Or will that be Jonah Goldberg for the tenth night in a row?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:16 
8:17
Ed: A Tommy Boy reference in the comments! 
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:17 
8:18
Ed: Out of ballots in Sandusky?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:18 
8:18
Michelle: Ed, not yet. I'll have to clear my WPITW medal shelf.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:18 
8:18
Michelle: Where's the big A!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:18 
8:18
AP: Right here
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:18 
8:18
AP: Waiting for news
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:18 
8:20
Michelle: Canopfor, I'm not drinking coffee. It's still Lent.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:20 
8:20
Ed: I think we're seeing the early voting numbers from Texas.  So far, Obama has a 15-point lead over Hillary with almost 600,000 votes counted. 
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:20 
8:22
AP: Wow -- fully 10% of the Democratic vote in Texas and Ohio was from Republicans crossing over.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:22 
8:24
Michelle: Don't know if you mentioned this already, but it was a ballot-on-demand printer failure that caused the Sandusky problem, acc. to Cleveland PD.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:24 
8:25
Ed: Hadn't heard that yet, Michelle.  Dollayo, crossovers in Ohio went more for Obama.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:25 
8:27
Ed: In Texas, it looks like Obama will have a 150,000-vote cushion against Hillary with the early primary voters, possibly more than that.  That will be hard to overcome.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:27 
8:30
If Hillary wins Ohio and loses Texas, how long does she stay in the race?
Gets out within the week
 ( 6% )
Stays until Pennsylvania
 ( 19% )
Goes all the way to the convention
 ( 73% )
Runs with Bloomberg as an independent
 ( 1% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:30 
8:31
Ed: New poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:31 
8:34
AP: For what it's worth, Terry McAuliffe is saying Hillary's in it to the bitter end.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:34 
8:34
Ed: Apparently, John McCain will get President Bush's endorsement tomorrow if he clinches tonight.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:34 
8:35
Via DMN: "As voting draws to a close, some Dallas County precincts are reporting long lines extending outside onto streets. Details to come."
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:35 
8:39
Ed: Paul Begala on the Bush endorsement: "Hallelujah!  Praise Jesus!  I'll rent the hall!"
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:39 
8:39
Michelle: Re Bush endorsement. Cue The Police.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:39 
8:40
Ed: Does he start to shake and cough just like that old man in the book by Nabokov?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:40 
8:42
Ed: Bill Bennett: "If the Democrats want to debate the Barack Obama idea that we'll pull out of Iraq and then go back if al-Qaeda comes back .... we'll take that debate all spring and all summer."
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:42 
8:43
AP: Meanwhile, behind the scenes, Hillary and Obama are in a tug of war over those secret superdelegates Tom Brokaw talked about today.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:43 
8:45
Ed: If anyone wants to catch a rational liberal's live-blog, check out Michael Stickings.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:45 
8:46
AP: ABC says Billy Jeff did 50 interviews with local media today. No typo.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:46 
8:46
Ed: AP, he probably managed to talk about his wife in 10 of them, too!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:46 
8:49
Ed: CNN now reports on the "irregularities" in Ohio, probably the Sandusky situation.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:49 
8:49
Ed: Did we chase Michelle away? NOOOOOOOO!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:49 
8:51
Ed: Winston, RI doesn't close for another 10 minutes.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:51 
8:52
AP: Heads up -- NBC says Huck is ready to concede.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:52 
8:53
Yep. Just updated mm.co. - he's begging McCain for attention. Wants contact with the McCain camp to "coordinate the concession" tomorrow. McCain's gonna be tied up with the White House endorsement and the RNC official blessing.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:53 
8:54
AP: Here's the post from last week about Huckabee possibly running for senate.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:54 
8:54
[Comment From bacadogbacadog: ] 
Yep, AP. Fox was scrolling there would be an address from Huck at 9:15
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:54 bacadog
8:55
Michelle: I did that. :)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:55 
8:57
Ed: CNN reports that Obama also tried to keep polls open in Columbus, OH, but got denied.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:57 
8:58
Who makes the best VP for McCain?
Mike Huckabee
 ( 4% )
Sarah Palin
 ( 27% )
Mitt Romney
 ( 45% )
Mark Sanford
 ( 11% )
Haley Barbour
 ( 7% )
Tim Pawlenty
 ( 5% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:58 
8:59
Ed: New Poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:59 
8:59
Ed: (courtesy of Bacadog)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 8:59 
9:00
AP: Fox says McCain wins Texas
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:00 
9:00
AP: Fox says McCain clinches the nomination.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:00 
9:00
Ed: So does CNN and projects him over the top for the nomination'
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:00 
9:01
Ed: Doesn't this make Huckabee's concession tomorrow ... lame??
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:01 
9:01
AP: So much for my Huckabee prediction this morning.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:01 
9:02
Where are my McCain noseplugs?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:02 
9:02
Ed: See?  Michelle's enthused!  She's even buying McCain merchandise ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:02 
9:04
Ed: I'm going to buy Michelle some John McCain barbecue sauce.  It won't go on pork, but it goes great with Mexican food.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:04 
9:04
AP: Says ABC, "He knows it's over but wants to concede in such a way as to be in line with his party's candidate."
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:04 
9:04
Michelle: Heh. Har.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:04 
9:06
Michelle: "...concede in such a way as to be in line [for the VP slot]."
 There. I fixed it.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:06 
9:07
Ed: Texas will be close according to CNN's exit poll...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:07 
9:08

Ed: Obama won men 52-46, but Hillary won women 53-46, and women turned out ahead of men, 57-43

Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:08 
9:09
Ed: She won over 60% of the Latino vote ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:09 
9:09
AP: Molly Henneberg says Huck's dropping out tonight.  Video soon.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:09 
9:10
Ed: And Hillary won 61-38 among people who decided in the last three days.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:10 
9:11
Ed: Can she overcome the lead Obama had in the early voting?  That will be tough.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:11 
9:12
Ed: It's important to remember that the CNN exit polls only calculated those who voted in the primary today, not the caucuses and not the early voters.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:12 
9:12
Fun fact: CoverItLive tells us there are 1,700 of you here with us tonight. Thanks for hanging out with us!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:12 
9:14
AP: Interesting in that exit poll -- Republicans broke for Obama, but only 53-46
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:14 
9:15
AP: And it's a reversal of Ohio in ideology.  Hillary wins liberals and conservatives(!) and Obama wins moderates.  How did Hillary win conservatives?  Was that the Limbaugh crossover effect?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:15 
9:15
Michelle: Matthews asks Russert, "When does it become clear to people that the Clintons are interested in the Clintons and not the Democratic Party?"
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:15 
9:16
Ed: I thought that line got crossed when she compared John McCain favorably to Barack Obama.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:16 
9:16
AP: And still more data -- Hillary wins "very conservative" voters, 57-43. Wow.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:16 
9:17
Ed: AP, I think that's the crossover vote.  Those are the Rush listeners.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:17 
9:17
AP: "Was race of candidate important to you?" 19% say yes -- a 50/50 split between them.  Yeesh.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:17 
9:18
Ed: Looks like Huckabee's bowing out now.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:18 
9:20
Ed: Here's his withdrawal.  He's committing to unite the party and the country.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:20 
9:22
Ed: Mrs. Huckabee's trying hard not to cry.  She's taking this hard.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:22 
9:23
Ed: Yes, he did take an implicit dig at the Romney campaign, no doubt about it, as bacadog says.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:23 
9:25
AP: Bombshell -- Geraghty hears one of the networks may be on the verge of calling Texas for ... Hillary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:25 
9:25
AP: And as I write this, MSNBC calls Rhode Island for Hillary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:25 
9:25
Ed: Hillary has made up about a third of the deficit in Texas with just 3% of precincts reporting.  She's down about 80,000 votes and nine points at the moment.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:25 
9:26
Ed: AP, I'd be surprised if anyone tried calling Texas for Hillary yet, but it wouldn't surprise me if she won.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:26 
9:28
Ed: CNN calls RI for Hillary, too.  She's officially broken the losing streak.  Is the coronation back on?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:28 
9:32
Ed: Hillary is up 20 in Ohio with 10% of precincts reporting.  It looks pretty good for at least a split tonight.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:32 
9:34

Ed: Flip, those votes came from early voters, and precinct counts are separate.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:34 
9:35
Ed: Hillary's up in Ohio by 22% with 12% reporting.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:35 
9:37
Ed: Almost no precincts reporting in Columbus and Cleveland, though.  In Columbus, Obama's up 60-40.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:37 
9:41
Ed: Looks like we'll hear from McCain soon...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:41 
9:42
MSNBC's Howard Fineman invokes the phrase "grim determination" two dozen times to describe the mood at Camp Hillary.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:42 
9:45
Ed: I don't know; it doesn't look all that grim for Hillary tonight, I think
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:45 
9:45
Ed: I think Fineman's overstating the issue, or the campaign is overthinking it
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:45 
9:48
Ed: She put up a couple of Ws, and that gives her an excuse to carry on
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:48 
9:48
Ed: John McCain claims "with confidence [and] humility" that he won the nomination outright
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:48 
9:50
Ed: Nice words for Huckabee.   Thanking all his former rivals .... now the family ... why do these things always sound like Oscar speeches?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:50 
9:51
Ed: "Given the alternatives", he thinks that the Republicans should win.  Well,me too.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:51 
9:53
Ed: With 7% reporting now in Texas, Hillary is within 41,000 and 3 points.  It's getting very close now.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:53 
9:56
[Comment From malan89malan89: ] 
McCain just gave "independent-thinking Democrats" a shout out.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:56 malan89
9:56
AP: An interesting footnote: Obama called McCain to congratulate him.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:56 
9:56
Ed: Democrats can campaign on abrogating treaties and pretending the rest of the world doesn't exist.  Heh.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:56 
9:58
Ed: With 9% reporting, Obama's lead is now less than 37K. 
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:58 
9:59
Ed: This is a good speech, and his respectful scorn appears in full force.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:59 
9:59
I'm keeping a "My friends" count. I think we're up to 14.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 9:59 
10:00
15!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:00 
10:00
Ed: Should have been a drinking game ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:00 
10:00
Ed: "Leaders don't pine for the past and dread the future. ... We don't hide from history -- we make history."
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:00 
10:01
Wow. He just looked like Bruce Banner there for a sec.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:01 
10:03
Ed: Austin still hasn't started coming in for Texas, so Obama still has some strength left on the table.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:03 
10:03
Ed: "Johnny Be Good"!  An artist who couldn't object to using the song!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:03 
10:04
Ed: Hillary's up 9 in San Antonio.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:04 
10:08
Ed: On CHQR now ......
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:08 
10:11
[Comment From GuestGuest: ] 
Can we get a shout out to Karl Rove's MacBook Air?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:11 Guest
10:12
[Comment From Dee in Cleveland, OHDee in Cleveland, OH: ] 
New Cuyahoga results. Hillary leads in all districts except 11 which is Tubbs Jones district. Isn't she for Hillary???? http://boe.cuyahogacounty.us/en-US/master-results-list.aspx
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:12 Dee in Cleveland, OH
10:16
[Comment From bacadogbacadog: ] 
Send lawyers, guns and money! http://thehill.com/campaign-2008/clinton-cries-foul-in-texas-obama-lawyer-joins-clinton-call-2008-03-04.html
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:16 bacadog
10:18
[Comment From ButtersButters: ] 
How are things lookin in Texas?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:18 Butters
10:18
Ed: Hillary is now within 24,000 in Texas.  This may be a good argument against early voting.  People miss out on significant events that may impact their vote.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:18 
10:20
Ed: Was just telling CHQR that Wes Clark may want to propose his wife for Joint Chief chair, if he thinks Hillary Clinton has more insight into military leadership because she was First Lady
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:20 
10:23
Ed: Thanks, NativeTex!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:23 
10:25
AP: Hmmm. Steve Brown on Fox says the Clinton camp is worried about lower than expected turnout in one of her key counties due to flooding.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:25 
10:27
Michelle: Right. She's counting on Ted Strickland turning out votes for her in the southern counties.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:27 
10:30
Ed: Hillary is now within 8,000 votes in Texas.  It's getting amazingly close
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:30 
10:30
Ed: This late-breaking momentum could have an impact on the caucuses, too ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:30 
10:36
Ed: Hillary's up by 150,000 in Ohio.  Can Cuyahoga overcome that?  I don't think it can.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:36 
10:38
What will be the best winning strategy for McCain against Obama?
Depth of experience
 ( 29% )
Fiscal discipline/budgetary issues
 ( 24% )
War on terror
 ( 43% )
Character
 ( 4% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:38 
10:38
Ed: New poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:38 
10:41
Ed: Hillary within 2100 in Texas ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:41 
10:44
Ed: And now within 1800 in Texas ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:44 
10:46
Ed: The Texas caucuses have had some problems tonight; the sheets have been filled out improperly, etc etc.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:46 
10:49
Ed: Hillary's in the lead now in Texas with 24% of the precincts reporting.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:49 
10:50
AP: Yep. Fox shows her ahead by 9,000 votes with 25% in.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:50 
10:55
Ed: Hillary leads by almost 200K in Ohio, and CNN calls it for her.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:55 
10:55
Ed: That's two out of three for Hillary -- and one we thought she might lose after dropping Wisconsin.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:55 
10:57
AP: Fox calls it for Hillary too. Hallelujah.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:57 
10:57
Ed: Hillary  has a 19,000 vote lead in Texas, but the Obama areas of Houston, Austin, and Dallas still have mostly not come in.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:57 
10:58
Who wins Pennsylvania on April 22nd?
Hillary Clinton
 ( 91% )
Barack Obama
 ( 9% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:58 
10:59
Ed: New Poll!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 10:59 
11:04

Ed: Michelle, you've got MS-NBC watch.  Any chills running up Chris Mathews' leg tonight?

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:04 
11:06
Ed: Austin now has 31% of the precincts reporting, but Hillary remains 20,000 or so in front.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:06 
11:08
If Obama loses Texas, does he have to stop running against McCain and start running against Clinton
Yes, he has to focus on answering her
 ( 58% )
No, he should target McCain
 ( 0% )
He will have to do both
 ( 41% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:08 
11:08

Ed: New Poll -- the other was too lopsided.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:08 
11:09
Ed: Begala on NAFTA Dance -- Goolsbee should have been fired, and the lack of action reflects poorly on Obama's readiness as an executive.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:09 
11:11
AP: Just to remind you, per the Ohio exit polls, voters broke 57/40 for Hillary on the C-in-C question and 54/45 among late-deciders (versus 50/49 among early deciders).  The Daisy effect?  Maybe not -- Obama won on the issue of Iraq, but that was a far distant second to the economy in terms of importance.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:11 
11:11
Ed: Heartbreak -- Ron Paul looks to have won his primary ....
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:11 
11:12
[Comment From kahallkahall: ] 
Ok, Ed I have barely started to get to know you and I can tell already you have no life. ;-) But I love this love blog thing. Let Michelle know...it's just cool and you are doing a fine job.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:12 kahall
11:13
Ed: Hey, readers at CapQ knew I had no life for years now!  ;-)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:13 
11:15
Ed: OK, Dallas and Austin are now reporting at about the same rate as the rest of the state, and Hillary still leads by 17,000.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:15 
11:15
[Comment From DryHeat (jvandahm)DryHeat (jvandahm): ] 
Ed this CapQ transfer's wife would like you to know that she blames you for my lack of a life :-)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:15 DryHeat (jvandahm)
11:16
[Comment From Amendment XAmendment X: ] 
And Ed- we all appreciate your consistency
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:16 Amendment X
11:17
Ed: A couple of great CapQ commenters, come to bust my chops ...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:17 
11:17
Ed: Hillary just started her speech.   Time to get a drink.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:17 
11:17
Ed: Maybe two.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:17 
11:18
[Comment From J-manJ-man: ] 
Question for our fearless bloggers: just how great is it for McCain if Hillary pulls it off in Texas as well, continuing the fight for the D nomination while McCain campaigns for President? A gift from the gods, or merely totally awesome?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:18 J-man
11:18
Ed: I'd settle for a totally awesome gift from the gods.  AP?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:18 
11:20
Ed: Are Hillary supporters chanting "Yes, she can"?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:20 
11:20
Michelle: "Yes, she will!"

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:20 
11:20
AP: "Yes, she will"

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:20 
11:20
Michelle: Also - No tingling at MSNBC.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:20 
11:21
Would a Hillary resurgence be good news or bad news for the Republicans?
Good news - Let Obama & Clinton beat each other up
 ( 86% )
Bad news: We may get President Hillary
 ( 14% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:21 
11:21
Ed: New poll!  And I'm bummed that Matthews isn't getting tingled in all the right places.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:21 
11:22
Ed: Who says the "www" part of a domain name any more?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:22 
11:23
Michelle: At least she didn't say http colon double backslash.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:23 
11:24
Ed: LOL, Michelle!  Although if Hillary said that, she'd probably actually say ellohell.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:24 
11:25
Ed: Now she wants to win the war in Iraq?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:25 
11:25
[Comment From ChristophChristoph: ] 
Michelle reminds me of how good Ann Coulter is at humor.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:25 Christoph
11:25
Glad to be of service.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:25 
11:26
Ted Strickland is Hillary's Charlie Crist.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:26 
11:26
Ed: CNN needs to fix its color -- Hillary has green hair on this shot.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:26 
11:27
Ed: Austin has reported 65% of its precincts, and still Hillary has a 23,000 vote lead.  Obama's running out of reserves.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:27 
11:28
[Comment From tbv1977tbv1977: ] 
apparently she only mentions obama on election nights when she beats him...
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:28 tbv1977
11:29
Ed: You noticed that too?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:29 
11:31
Ed: Hillary up 28,000 with 48% of precincts reporting, but low in Houston and Dallas.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:31 
11:34
I can't take MSNBC duty anymore. Between Tom Brokaw's mumbling and Chris Matthews' guffawing and Olbermann's unctuousness and all the off-camera snickering whenever a GOP guest is on...AGH.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:34 
11:35

Ed: I'll swap with you, Michelle, you take CNN.

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:35 
11:35
Michelle:  Heh. No. I'll take my own advice and suck it up.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:35 
11:36
Ed: Don't feel like listening to Paul Begala insisting every 10 minutes that Hillary hasn't gone negative against Obama?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:36 
11:37
[Comment From JenfidelJenfidel: ] 
Ed, BTW, welcome to HA! I've been a CQ fan for years!
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:37 Jenfidel
11:37

Ed: I'm thrilled to be here, and that you;re here as well!

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:37 
11:40
Ed: Hillary up by 33,000 now in Texas, with 52% of the precincts reporting.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:40 
11:42
Ed: Now Hillary is up 45,000 in Texas.  This is harshing the mellow of Obama's speech, I think.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:42 
11:43
[Comment From LarryLarry: ] 
This is harshing the mellow of Obama's speech, I think?? Did you slam down those two drinks already?:<)
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:43 Larry
11:43
Obama gunning for McCain now.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:43 
11:44
Ed: I'm tossing them down with every "Si, se puede".
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:44 
11:44
Ed: He's gunning for McCain now, but he won't be tomorrow if he loses Texas.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:44 
11:45
Ed: Ignoring our allies?  I guess that's why Goolsbee started talking with the Canadians, right?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:45 
11:46
Ed: Hillary goes over the 1 million mark in Texas and now leads by 47,000.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:46 
11:47
Ed: Is Barack Obama admitting plagiarism now?  He got the words from factory floors in Ohio?  Just kidding, just kidding.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:47 
11:48
Will the press go harder after Obama if he loses Texas?
Yes, they will see him as a regular politician
 ( 70% )
No, they will avoid damaging him further
 ( 30% )

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:48 
11:48

Ed:New Poll!

Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:48 
11:49
[Comment From alanalan: ] 
Ed, thanks for liveblogging. Quick question, but what exactly would constitute a "blowout" for Hillary in TX?
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:49 alan
11:49
Ed: She can't get a blowout in Texas -- but any win would be a large upset.
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:49 
11:59
Ed: Hillary up by about 54,000, but Houston remains slow to report (11% of precincts reporting at the moment). 
Tuesday March 4, 2008 11:59 
12:01
[Comment From SoutherngentSoutherngent: ] 
Where are you getting these Texas #'s from? The Texas elections' board is quite confusing and it only shows early votes as far as I can tell.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:01 Southerngent
12:02

Ed: They get combined results from the Texas Sec of State.  CNN, Fox, MS-NBC all get the same feed

Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:02 
12:06
[Comment From ClickClick: ] 
Ed, I've heard a few "experts" venture that if they had to guess, they would now pick Hillary in Texas. What say you at this point?
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:06 Click
12:08
Ed: I'd have to say it's still looking close.  Only 14% of the vote has come in from Houston.  That's Obama country, and it could wipe out that margin quickly.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:08 
12:08
Michelle: Tim Russert exulting, "We are going to be here for three more months!"
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:08 
12:08
Ed: But here's the story -- Obama had a huge lead in early voters, but she creamed him in the last few days
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:08 
12:09
Ed: Michelle, that's hilarious.  It's a twist on Eisenhower -- Beware the political-industrial complex!
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:09 
12:13
Ed: Hillary still up 55,000 with 64% reporting, and Houston at 33% now.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:13 
12:13
Michelle: Heh.

Russert was waving around a bootleg copy of David Axelrod's delegate predictions. Looks like they were pretty spot-on. Here it is.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:13 
12:14
Michelle: Allah, knock, knock.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:14 
12:14
AP: A special bulletin: YouTube reeks. That is all.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:14 
12:14
Michelle: Ah, there you are. Yes. Just wait until they start adding all that livestreaming!
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:14 
12:16
Ed: CNN is running the Defense of Democracies ad in favor of the FISA bill
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:16 
12:22
[Comment From LarryLarry: ] 
Beckel and Estrich saying combined ticket ... I can't see either one willing to play second fiddle especially if Hill is on top ... Barak would be Bill's valet.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:22 Larry
12:23
Ed: If Hillary goes into the convention with a delegate lead, Obama would take a VP slot.  If he's ahead, never.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:23 
12:25
Ed: Oh, joy.  The Texas caucuses have begun reporting.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:25 
12:28
Would Hillary take a VP slot under Obama?
Yes
 ( 7% )
No
 ( 88% )
Not sure
 ( 5% )

Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:28 
12:30
[Comment From BrianBrian: ] 
Fox is itching to make the call in Texas
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:30 Brian
12:30
Ed: We ALL are ...
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:30 
12:32
Obama called Clinton. Rachel whatsername on MSNBC cracks that he should have waited until 3am.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:32 
12:35
Ed: Heh.  Great line.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:35 
12:36
Ed: We're up to 50% in Houston, and Hillary's still up over 53,000 votes.  The Obama edge in Houston dropped.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:36 
12:37
Ed: Larry King's running CNN'scoverage now, which guarantees we won't hear much interesting there.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:37 
12:39
[Comment From mlveziemlvezie: ] 
Q: Any chance Huckabee might decide to run for the senate?
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:39 mlvezie
12:39
Ed: I think that's what we hope -- he has until 3/10 to become a candidate for it
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:39 
12:42
Michelle: Hillary will hit six morning talk shows tomorrow.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:42 
12:43
Would Obama agree to be Hillary'sVP?
Yes - party unity will triumphover bitterness
 ( 38% )
No - Obama won't play second fiddle
 ( 62% )

Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:43 
12:45
[Comment From JackJack: ] 
CBS has called TX for Clinton
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:45 Jack
12:45
Ed: She's up 70,000 with 74% in....
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:45 
12:47
msnbc calls it, too.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:47 
12:48
Ed: that's huge
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:48 
12:49

Ed: CNN just called it, too

Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:49 
12:51
[Comment From ChristophChristoph: ] 
CNN said they called the primaries for Hillary, but not the Caucuses.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:51 Christoph
12:52

Ed: Yes, we're just talking about the primaries.We won't find out about the caucuses for a day or two.

Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:52 
12:55
Michelle: I'm signing off to work on some pieces for tomorrow.  Great work, Allah and Ed. I love this widget thingie. Let's make it a new HA tradition.
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:55 
12:55
And all of you HotAir Heads, get to bed!
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:55 
12:56
Ed: I think I'm heading to bed, too.  I love this widget.  Great idea, Allah!
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:56 
12:57
Ed: G'night, all!  and thanks for coming along for the ride!
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:57 
12:59
AP: G'night, all.  Thanks.  And remember, just because she won the popular vote in Texas doesn't mean she won more delegates...
Wednesday March 5, 2008 12:59 
12:59
This Live Blog has now ended.

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