COVERITLIVE.COM

6:16	Mark Blumenthal - Hi folks. This is our first voyage with CoverItLive..and I just logged on. The plan is to love blog all night and comments are welcome.

6:22	Charles Franklin - And I'm Charles Franklin, ready for a fun evening of election returns watching.

6:22	Mark Blumenthal - I'm somewhat distracted setting this thing up, but just saw the following result from the Virginia exit poll (mid-day results)...Obama job rating, 51 approve, 48 disapprove

6:23	Mark Blumenthal - Hi Charles!

6:23	[Comment From ahff] any leaked exit polls re nj?

6:25	Mark Blumenthal - Haven't seen/heard anything yet ahff, but if you haven't read this post yet... http://www.pollster.com/blogs/looking_for_presidential_exit.php

6:25	Mark Blumenthal - you should..

6:25	Mark Blumenthal - what leaks is usually a "composite" estimate that's a 50/50 blend of the actual exit poll estimate and an average of pre-election polls

6:25	[Comment From William] mydd reports 47/47, exits polls are hardly useful though

6:26	Mark Lindeman - @william: entertainment value, anyway.

6:26

Charles Franklin - ABC Says this:

Initial, preliminary exit poll results on basic issues should be available in a few hours, after 5 p.m. ABC News does not report vote-preference data from exit polls until polls in a state have closed – 7 p.m. in Virginia, 8 p.m. in New Jersey.

http://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/Politics/election-2009-virginia-jersey-exit-polls-obama-economy/story?id=8984551

6:26	Mark Blumenthal - And yes, William's absolutely right....not much more accurate than the polls we've been looking at all along, sometimes much less so

6:27	Mark Blumenthal - Welcome Mark Lindeman...poli-sci prof and exit poll connoisser extraordinaire!

6:27	Kristen Soltis - Just joining in - looking forward to an exciting night of election returns!

6:28	Mark Blumenthal - And welcome Kristen!

6:28	Mark Lindeman - To be serious, exit polls are very interesting after the fact. Meanwhile, students at Bard and elsewhere in Dutchess County apparently are being forced to vote provisionally if they have moved from the dorm in which they registered. (Not in NY-23.)

6:28	Mark Blumenthal - Here's the link to the CBS early exit poll non-vote-preference data http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/11/03/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5514455.shtml

6:29	[Comment From ahff] 47.47 ... wow.... looks like we may be headed to litigation

6:29

Charles Franklin - From the CBS Story:

Still, majorities of voters in both states (55 percent in Virginia and 60 percent in New Jersey) said President Obama was not a factor in their vote today. Those who said Mr. Obama was a factor in New Jersey divided as to whether their vote was a vote for the president (19 percent) or against him (20 percent). In Virginia, slightly fewer voters said their vote was for Mr. Obama (18 percent) than against him (24 percent).

6:30	Charles Franklin - And NJ continues to look balanced: Among Corzine supporters in New Jersey, 38 percent said one reason for their vote was to express support for Mr. Obama, while 39 percent of Christie voters said it was to express opposition to Mr. Obama.

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